Crypto - Chia - Chance of Winning

There are 4608 chances to win 2 TXCH per day.

The math is .010 PB/200 PB * 4608 * 2 = 0.46.

The formula is: 

Chance = Total Size of Plots / Total Network Space * 4608 * 2

NOTE: Convert the following 2 fields to the same size.

  • If Total Network Space is in EB, and Total Size of Plots is in TB, then divide this last figure by 1,0000,000 to have everything in TB.
  • Total Size of Plots: The size of your plots.
  • Total Network Space: The size of the total storage on mainnet.

Example:

  • Total Size of Plots = 10 TB.
  • Total Network Space = 29 EB.

Convert to EB

  • Total Size of Plots = 10/1000000 = 0.00001 EB.

Calculate Chance

  • Chance = 0.00001 / 29 * 4608 *2 = 0.003177931.

Format this Chance

  • This means you would expect to win 0.003177931 TXCH per day on average.
  • Therefore 1 / 0.003177931 = 314.670142303 days for 1 TXCH
    • But as a Win gives 2 TXCH, the time to Win is 314.670142303 * 2 = 629.340284607 days.